July 10, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Damacio Page |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 959 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Alex Caceres's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Caceres for the expected result. Had Damacio Page pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Damacio Page |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Damacio Page |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:27 | 1:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 880 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -37 |
Alex Caceres earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:27, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Damacio Page was submitted.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Damacio Page |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 951 | 876 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Damacio Page controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (56 vs 16 total strikes), superior accuracy (31.8% vs 75.0%). However, since Damacio Page lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alex Caceres's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Damacio Page |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 5:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 832 | 697 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Alex Caceres edged out Damacio Page on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Damacio Page |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 158 | 88 |
| Activity ELO | 1 024 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -19 |
Alex Caceres demonstrated solid activity levels with 158 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Caceres capitalized on this activity level, while Damacio Page's 88-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Damacio Page |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Alex Caceres started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damacio Page is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Damacio Page |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

