June 2, 2023
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 28 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Alex Caceres's 16-fight experience advantage (28 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Caceres for the expected result. Had Daniel Pineda pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 100 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 304 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alex Caceres earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 60 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 251 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Alex Caceres controlled the striking exchanges with 86 vs 43 total strikes, 60 vs 27 significant strikes, 60.6% vs 48.2% accuracy. Alex Caceres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:26 | 3:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 175 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Alex Caceres edged out Daniel Pineda on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:26 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 217 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -14 |
Alex Caceres demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Caceres capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Pineda's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 148 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Alex Caceres extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Pineda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 100 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.