February 3, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Edwin Figueroa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 925 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Edwin Figueroa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Edwin Figueroa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 955 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Edwin Figueroa receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Edwin Figueroa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 89 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 929 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Alex Caceres controlled the striking through superior volume (76 vs 53 total strikes), significant strike advantage (55 vs 41), superior accuracy (61.8% vs 50.6%). However, since Alex Caceres lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Edwin Figueroa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Edwin Figueroa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:04 | 2:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 798 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Edwin Figueroa landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Edwin Figueroa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 991 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +36 |
Edwin Figueroa demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edwin Figueroa capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Caceres's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Edwin Figueroa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Edwin Figueroa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Caceres is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Edwin Figueroa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.