June 5, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 927 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Francisco Rivera overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alex Caceres.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:21 | 0:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 992 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +92 |
Francisco Rivera secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:21 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 920 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -118 | +118 |
Francisco Rivera controlled the striking exchanges with 5 vs 0 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Francisco Rivera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 876 | 970 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 057 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Francisco Rivera demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Rivera capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Caceres's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Francisco Rivera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Caceres is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.