January 27, 2017
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Jason Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 968 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +47 |
Jason Knight overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alex Caceres.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Jason Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 991 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Jason Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:21 | 4:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 037 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +73 |
Jason Knight earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:21, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Alex Caceres was submitted.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Jason Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Jason Knight edged the striking exchanges with 32.6% vs 46.6% accuracy. Jason Knight capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Jason Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 3:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 896 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -117 | +117 |
Jason Knight dominated Alex Caceres on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:24 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Jason Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +73 |
Jason Knight demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jason Knight capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Caceres's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Jason Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Jason Knight extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Caceres is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Jason Knight |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 991 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.