January 29, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Masio Fullen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Alex Caceres's 10-fight experience advantage (13 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Caceres for the expected result. Had Masio Fullen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Masio Fullen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Masio Fullen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 033 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Alex Caceres earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Masio Fullen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 144 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 972 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Alex Caceres controlled the striking exchanges with 80 vs 38 total strikes, 74 vs 36 significant strikes, 51.4% vs 33.3% accuracy. Alex Caceres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Masio Fullen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:47 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 956 | 895 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Alex Caceres controlled Masio Fullen on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:47 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Masio Fullen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 079 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Alex Caceres demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alex Caceres capitalized on this activity level, while Masio Fullen's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Masio Fullen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Alex Caceres started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Masio Fullen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Masio Fullen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.