Alex Caceres vs Motonobu Tezuka

November 9, 2012

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

997
(+31)
Alex Caceres
Winner: Alex Caceres
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alex Caceres+31
Motonobu Tezuka-28
972
(-28)
Motonobu Tezuka

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +35Motonobu Tezuka: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresMotonobu Tezuka
Total UFC Fights61
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO994965
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Alex Caceres's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Caceres for the expected result. Had Motonobu Tezuka pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +22Motonobu Tezuka: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresMotonobu Tezuka
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 003978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +10Motonobu Tezuka: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresMotonobu Tezuka
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 023990
ELO Change+10-10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Alex Caceres receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +52Motonobu Tezuka: -52

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresMotonobu Tezuka
Significant Strikes Landed6422
Significant Strikes Attempted12475
Total Strikes Landed8340
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 003948
ELO Change+52-52
💡

What Happened

Alex Caceres controlled the striking exchanges with 83 vs 40 total strikes, 64 vs 22 significant strikes, 51.6% vs 29.3% accuracy. Alex Caceres capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +40Motonobu Tezuka: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresMotonobu Tezuka
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted012
Ground Control Time1:113:44
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO872960
ELO Change+40-40
💡

What Happened

Alex Caceres did not secure a significant ground advantage against Motonobu Tezuka on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:11 of control time, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +39Motonobu Tezuka: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresMotonobu Tezuka
Days Since Last Fight123N/A
Activity ELO1 063980
ELO Change+39-20
💡

What Happened

Alex Caceres demonstrated solid activity levels with 123 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Caceres capitalized on this activity level, while Motonobu Tezuka's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +26Motonobu Tezuka: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresMotonobu Tezuka
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 011978
ELO Change+26-22
💡

What Happened

Alex Caceres extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Motonobu Tezuka is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +22Motonobu Tezuka: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresMotonobu Tezuka
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 003978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.