June 16, 2017
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Rolando Dy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 002 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Alex Caceres's 16-fight experience advantage (17 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Caceres for the expected result. Had Rolando Dy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Rolando Dy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 013 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Rolando Dy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 060 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Alex Caceres gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Rolando Dy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 93 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 095 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Alex Caceres controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 21 total strikes, 51 vs 20 significant strikes, 54.8% vs 30.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alex Caceres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Rolando Dy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:48 | 1:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 965 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Alex Caceres landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Rolando Dy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 116 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -16 |
Alex Caceres demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Caceres capitalized on this activity level, while Rolando Dy's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Rolando Dy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -20 |
Alex Caceres started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rolando Dy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Rolando Dy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 013 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.