July 19, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 17 | -17 |
| Experience ELO | 896 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Alex Caceres's 17-fight experience advantage (21 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Caceres for the expected result. Had Steven Peterson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 010 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 899 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Alex Caceres earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 197 | 218 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Alex Caceres controlled the striking exchanges with 94 vs 67 significant strikes, 47.7% vs 30.7% accuracy. Alex Caceres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 920 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Alex Caceres did not secure a significant ground advantage against Steven Peterson on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 153 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 109 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -16 |
Alex Caceres demonstrated solid activity levels with 153 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Caceres capitalized on this activity level, while Steven Peterson's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Alex Caceres started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steven Peterson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.