August 5, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 994 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +38 |
Yair Rodriguez overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alex Caceres.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 011 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 084 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Yair Rodriguez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 120 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 196 | 338 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 124 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Yair Rodriguez dominated the striking exchanges with 124 vs 65 total strikes, 120 vs 62 significant strikes. Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:39 | 0:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 013 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Yair Rodriguez controlled Alex Caceres on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:31 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 108 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +54 |
Yair Rodriguez demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Caceres's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +34 |
Yair Rodriguez continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Alex Caceres's now at 0.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 011 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.