May 8, 2015
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:15 | 3:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 021 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -42 |
Alex Chambers earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:15, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kailin Curran was submitted.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 109 | 190 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 123 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 974 | 904 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Kailin Curran controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (123 vs 53 total strikes), significant strike advantage (81 vs 44). However, since Kailin Curran lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alex Chambers's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 4:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 956 | 857 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Alex Chambers controlled Kailin Curran on the ground with 2 takedowns, 0:58 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Alex Chambers demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Chambers capitalized on this activity level, while Kailin Curran's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Alex Chambers started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kailin Curran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Kailin Curran |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.