September 4, 2015
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 993 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:01 | 1:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 991 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +45 |
Paige VanZant earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:01, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Alex Chambers was submitted.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 130 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 165 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 947 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Paige VanZant dominated the striking exchanges with 165 vs 66 total strikes, 73 vs 30 significant strikes. Paige VanZant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 7:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 876 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Paige VanZant dominated Alex Chambers on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:14 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 003 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +37 |
Paige VanZant demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paige VanZant capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Chambers's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +24 |
Paige VanZant extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Chambers is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Chambers | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.