April 19, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Da Silva | Alexander Yakovlev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Alexander Yakovlev's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexander Yakovlev for the expected result. Had Alex Da Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Da Silva | Alexander Yakovlev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Da Silva | Alexander Yakovlev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:10 | 3:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 966 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +53 |
Alexander Yakovlev earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Alex Da Silva was submitted.
| Metric | Alex Da Silva | Alexander Yakovlev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 965 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Alexander Yakovlev slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 14 vs 8 significant strikes, 73.7% vs 42.1% accuracy. Alexander Yakovlev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Da Silva | Alexander Yakovlev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:29 | 2:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 927 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Alexander Yakovlev controlled Alex Da Silva on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:13 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alex Da Silva | Alexander Yakovlev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 882 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Alexander Yakovlev demonstrated extended layoff with 882 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Alexander Yakovlev capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Da Silva's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Da Silva | Alexander Yakovlev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Alexander Yakovlev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Da Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Da Silva | Alexander Yakovlev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

