December 29, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 134 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -32 |
Alex Garcia overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mike Pyle.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:34 | 3:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 208 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -54 |
Alex Garcia earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 105 | 854 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Alex Garcia controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 5 significant strikes, 48.3% vs 20.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alex Garcia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:29 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 169 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Alex Garcia landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 313 | 177 |
| Activity ELO | 1 100 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Alex Garcia demonstrated standard activity with 313 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Alex Garcia capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Pyle's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 062 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Alex Garcia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Pyle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.