July 10, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -41 |
Alex Garcia overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mike Swick.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 142 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Alex Garcia earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 133 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Alex Garcia slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 24 vs 19 significant strikes. Alex Garcia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:02 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 143 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +123 | -123 |
Alex Garcia dominated Mike Swick on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:02 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 322 | 945 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alex Garcia demonstrated standard activity with 322 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Alex Garcia capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Swick's 945-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 058 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -27 |
Alex Garcia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Swick is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.