November 24, 2017
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 121 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Alex Garcia's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Garcia for the expected result. Had Muslim Salikhov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:22 | 3:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 204 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -23 |
Alex Garcia earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:22, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Muslim Salikhov was submitted.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 106 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Alex Garcia slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 25.0% vs 37.0% accuracy. Alex Garcia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:08 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 236 | 903 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -97 |
Alex Garcia dominated Muslim Salikhov on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:08 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 114 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -16 |
Alex Garcia demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Garcia capitalized on this activity level, while Muslim Salikhov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Alex Garcia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Muslim Salikhov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

