August 22, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 026 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Neil Magny's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Alex Garcia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 079 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Neil Magny earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 130 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 101 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 130 vs 27 total strikes, 39 vs 5 significant strikes, 49.4% vs 12.8% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:11 | 4:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 020 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Neil Magny controlled Alex Garcia on the ground with 3 takedowns, 4:00 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 56 |
| Activity ELO | 1 066 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +77 |
Neil Magny demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Garcia's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +29 |
Neil Magny extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.