April 20, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 164 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Ryan LaFlare earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Ryan LaFlare edged the striking exchanges with 47 vs 21 total strikes, 24 vs 11 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 20.4% accuracy. Ryan LaFlare capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:06 | 4:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 190 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Ryan LaFlare edged out Alex Garcia on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:28 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 099 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Ryan LaFlare demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Ryan LaFlare capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Garcia's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Ryan LaFlare started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.