March 14, 2014
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -32 |
Alex Garcia overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sean Spencer.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 119 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Alex Garcia receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 135 | 160 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 176 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Alex Garcia controlled the striking exchanges with 45.2% vs 36.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alex Garcia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:33 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 095 | 860 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Alex Garcia controlled Sean Spencer on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 4:33 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -24 |
Alex Garcia demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Garcia capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Spencer's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Alex Garcia extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Spencer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Garcia | Sean Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.