Alex Garcia vs Tim Means

June 24, 2017

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1084
(-25)
Alex Garcia
Winner: Tim Means
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alex Garcia-25
Tim Means+28
1156
(+28)
Tim Means

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Garcia: -36Tim Means: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex GarciaTim Means
Total UFC Fights715
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO1 0981 117
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Tim Means's 8-fight experience advantage (15 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Means for the expected result. Had Alex Garcia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Garcia: -20Tim Means: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex GarciaTim Means
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0271 077
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Garcia: -40Tim Means: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex GarciaTim Means
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1681 268
ELO Change-40+40
💡

What Happened

Tim Means earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Garcia: -23Tim Means: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex GarciaTim Means
Significant Strikes Landed3264
Significant Strikes Attempted151174
Total Strikes Landed3276
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0821 295
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Tim Means controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 32 total strikes, 64 vs 32 significant strikes, 36.8% vs 21.2% accuracy. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Garcia: -30Tim Means: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex GarciaTim Means
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted50
Ground Control Time0:290:01
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1391 049
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Tim Means did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alex Garcia on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Garcia: -14Tim Means: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex GarciaTim Means
Days Since Last Fight177106
Activity ELO1 0861 259
ELO Change-14+34
💡

What Happened

Tim Means demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Garcia's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Garcia: -19Tim Means: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex GarciaTim Means
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0431 109
ELO Change-19+21
💡

What Happened

Tim Means started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Garcia: -20Tim Means: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex GarciaTim Means
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0271 077
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.