August 5, 2005
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Karalexis | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 997 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Karalexis | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Karalexis | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:52 | 2:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 066 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Kenny Florian gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Karalexis | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 046 | 963 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Kenny Florian controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 18 significant strikes, 55.9% vs 27.3% accuracy. Kenny Florian capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Karalexis | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:05 | 0:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 019 | 971 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Kenny Florian did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alex Karalexis on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:40 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alex Karalexis | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +59 |
Kenny Florian demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kenny Florian capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Karalexis's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Karalexis | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Kenny Florian started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Karalexis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Karalexis | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

