December 18, 2020
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Morono | Anthony Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Anthony Pettis's 8-fight experience advantage (20 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Pettis for the expected result. Had Alex Morono pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Anthony Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Anthony Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 176 | 1 466 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Anthony Pettis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Anthony Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 995 | 1 289 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Anthony Pettis controlled the striking exchanges with 80 vs 50 total strikes, 50 vs 31 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 39.7% accuracy. Anthony Pettis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Anthony Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:30 | 4:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 053 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Anthony Pettis did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alex Morono on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:32 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Anthony Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 35 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 132 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +14 |
Anthony Pettis demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Pettis capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Morono's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Anthony Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 067 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +20 |
Anthony Pettis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Morono is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Anthony Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.