October 12, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Morono | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 116 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +46 |
Daniel Rodriguez overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alex Morono.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 282 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Daniel Rodriguez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 123 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 257 | 257 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 126 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 074 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Daniel Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 126 vs 91 total strikes, 123 vs 74 significant strikes, 47.9% vs 28.8% accuracy. Daniel Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 977 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Daniel Rodriguez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alex Morono on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 226 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +46 |
Daniel Rodriguez demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Morono's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Daniel Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Morono is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Daniel Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.