May 7, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Morono | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 37 |
| Experience Gap | -24 | 24 |
| Experience ELO | 1 162 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -44 |
Alex Morono overcame a 24-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 37 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Donald Cerrone.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 072 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 317 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | +141 | -66 |
Alex Morono earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 113 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +118 | -118 |
Alex Morono controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 18 total strikes, 35 vs 17 significant strikes. Alex Morono capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:47 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 086 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Alex Morono did not secure a significant ground advantage against Donald Cerrone on the ground with 0:47 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 202 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -35 |
Alex Morono demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Morono capitalized on this activity level, while Donald Cerrone's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -29 |
Alex Morono started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Donald Cerrone is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.