January 1, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Morono | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Alex Morono overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kyle Noke.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 016 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Alex Morono receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 125 | 134 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 79 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 035 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Kyle Noke controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (59 vs 43). However, since Kyle Noke lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alex Morono's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:06 | 3:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 029 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alex Morono did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kyle Noke on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:06 of control time, 4 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 49 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Alex Morono demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Alex Morono capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Noke's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Alex Morono started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Noke is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

