July 29, 2022
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Morono | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 221 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Alex Morono's 10-fight experience advantage (16 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Morono for the expected result. Had Matthew Semelsberger pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 124 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 386 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alex Morono earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 106 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 194 | 229 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 119 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 201 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Alex Morono controlled the striking exchanges with 119 vs 86 total strikes, 106 vs 74 significant strikes, 54.6% vs 32.3% accuracy. Alex Morono capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:24 | 2:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 170 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Alex Morono did not secure a significant ground advantage against Matthew Semelsberger on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:24 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 276 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -12 |
Alex Morono demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alex Morono capitalized on this activity level, while Matthew Semelsberger's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 162 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -17 |
Alex Morono extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matthew Semelsberger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 121 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

