Alex Morono vs Matthew Semelsberger

July 29, 2022

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1208
(+23)
Alex Morono
Winner: Alex Morono
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alex Morono+23
Matthew Semelsberger-21
1100
(-21)
Matthew Semelsberger

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Morono: +21Matthew Semelsberger: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex MoronoMatthew Semelsberger
Total UFC Fights166
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 2211 061
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Alex Morono's 10-fight experience advantage (16 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Morono for the expected result. Had Matthew Semelsberger pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Morono: +18Matthew Semelsberger: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex MoronoMatthew Semelsberger
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1241 040
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Morono: +29Matthew Semelsberger: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex MoronoMatthew Semelsberger
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3861 219
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

Alex Morono earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Morono: +33Matthew Semelsberger: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex MoronoMatthew Semelsberger
Significant Strikes Landed10674
Significant Strikes Attempted194229
Total Strikes Landed11986
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2011 165
ELO Change+33-33
💡

What Happened

Alex Morono controlled the striking exchanges with 119 vs 86 total strikes, 106 vs 74 significant strikes, 54.6% vs 32.3% accuracy. Alex Morono capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Morono: +21Matthew Semelsberger: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex MoronoMatthew Semelsberger
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted41
Ground Control Time0:242:38
Ground Strikes Landed15
Ground ELO1 1701 133
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Alex Morono did not secure a significant ground advantage against Matthew Semelsberger on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:24 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Morono: +15Matthew Semelsberger: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex MoronoMatthew Semelsberger
Days Since Last Fight238140
Activity ELO1 2761 091
ELO Change+15-12
💡

What Happened

Alex Morono demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alex Morono capitalized on this activity level, while Matthew Semelsberger's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Morono: +23Matthew Semelsberger: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex MoronoMatthew Semelsberger
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 1621 051
ELO Change+23-17
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What Happened

Alex Morono extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matthew Semelsberger is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Morono: +18Matthew Semelsberger: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex MoronoMatthew Semelsberger
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1211 040
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.