December 3, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Morono | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 200 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Alex Morono's 5-fight experience advantage (15 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Morono for the expected result. Had Mickey Gall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 106 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 357 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Alex Morono earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 90 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 230 | 144 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 168 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Alex Morono controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 69 total strikes, 90 vs 65 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alex Morono capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:23 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 149 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Alex Morono landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 261 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -14 |
Alex Morono demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Morono capitalized on this activity level, while Mickey Gall's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 139 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Alex Morono extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mickey Gall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Mickey Gall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 103 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.