November 13, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Morono | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 062 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Alex Morono's 9-fight experience advantage (11 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Morono for the expected result. Had Rhys McKee pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 191 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Alex Morono earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 176 | 124 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 321 | 230 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 208 | 133 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 007 | 869 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Alex Morono dominated the striking exchanges with 208 vs 133 total strikes, 176 vs 124 significant strikes. Alex Morono capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:34 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 076 | 887 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Alex Morono controlled Rhys McKee on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:34 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Alex Morono demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Alex Morono capitalized on this activity level, while Rhys McKee's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Alex Morono started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rhys McKee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.