May 12, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Morono | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 27 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 214 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -18 |
Alex Morono overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (18 vs 27 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Means.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 119 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:09 | 2:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 400 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -32 |
Alex Morono earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:09, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tim Means was submitted.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 154 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Tim Means controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (40 vs 33), superior accuracy (46.0% vs 35.9%). However, since Tim Means lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alex Morono's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 189 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Alex Morono edged out Tim Means on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 286 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -20 |
Alex Morono demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Morono capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Means's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 162 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Alex Morono started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Means is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Morono | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 116 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

