July 12, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:57 | 4:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 067 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -46 |
Alex Nicholson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 060 | 904 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -96 |
Devin Clark controlled the striking through superior accuracy (70.0% vs 58.1%), 1 knockdown. However, since Devin Clark lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alex Nicholson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 2:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 909 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Alex Nicholson landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 158 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 019 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -22 |
Alex Nicholson demonstrated solid activity levels with 158 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Nicholson capitalized on this activity level, while Devin Clark's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Alex Nicholson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Devin Clark is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Devin Clark |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.