May 27, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 954 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:00 | 2:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 001 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +108 |
Jack Hermansson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 909 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -137 | +137 |
Jack Hermansson controlled the striking exchanges with 39 vs 3 total strikes, 23 vs 1 significant strikes, 79.3% vs 25.0% accuracy. Jack Hermansson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 854 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Jack Hermansson controlled Alex Nicholson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:38 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Jack Hermansson demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jack Hermansson capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Nicholson's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 967 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Jack Hermansson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Nicholson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Nicholson | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.