Alex Nicholson vs Misha Cirkunov

February 5, 2016

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

963
(-37)
Alex Nicholson
Winner: Misha Cirkunov
Submission
Round 2 • 1:28

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alex Nicholson-37
Misha Cirkunov+42
1088
(+42)
Misha Cirkunov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Nicholson: -30Misha Cirkunov: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex NicholsonMisha Cirkunov
Total UFC Fights12
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO9701 051
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Nicholson: -20Misha Cirkunov: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex NicholsonMisha Cirkunov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 041
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Nicholson: -31Misha Cirkunov: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex NicholsonMisha Cirkunov
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:281:28
Win Type ELO9691 139
ELO Change-31+49
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What Happened

Misha Cirkunov earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:28, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Alex Nicholson was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Nicholson: -36Misha Cirkunov: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex NicholsonMisha Cirkunov
Significant Strikes Landed1632
Significant Strikes Attempted5163
Total Strikes Landed1666
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9641 132
ELO Change-36+36
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What Happened

Misha Cirkunov dominated the striking exchanges with 66 vs 16 total strikes, 32 vs 16 significant strikes, 50.8% vs 31.4% accuracy. Misha Cirkunov capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Nicholson: -119Misha Cirkunov: +119

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex NicholsonMisha Cirkunov
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted06
Ground Control Time0:002:08
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO8811 196
ELO Change-119+119
💡

What Happened

Misha Cirkunov dominated Alex Nicholson on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:08 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Nicholson: -20Misha Cirkunov: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex NicholsonMisha Cirkunov
Days Since Last FightN/A168
Activity ELO9801 056
ELO Change-20+35
💡

What Happened

Misha Cirkunov demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Misha Cirkunov capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Nicholson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Nicholson: -20Misha Cirkunov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex NicholsonMisha Cirkunov
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9801 047
ELO Change-20+24
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What Happened

Misha Cirkunov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Nicholson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Nicholson: -20Misha Cirkunov: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex NicholsonMisha Cirkunov
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9801 041
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.