March 4, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 950 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +28 |
Kevin Holland overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alex Oliveira.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 996 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:38 | 0:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 1 380 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Kevin Holland gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 041 | 1 428 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Kevin Holland controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 21 total strikes, 50 vs 21 significant strikes, 65.8% vs 47.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kevin Holland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 960 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Kevin Holland did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alex Oliveira on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:15 of control time, 16 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 190 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +24 |
Kevin Holland demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Holland capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Oliveira's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Kevin Holland started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.