October 1, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 968 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Niko Price overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alex Oliveira.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 013 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 142 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Niko Price earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 116 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 108 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 069 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Niko Price edged the striking exchanges with 108 vs 83 total strikes. Niko Price capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:14 | 4:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Niko Price edged out Alex Oliveira on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:50 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 204 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +75 |
Niko Price demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Niko Price capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Oliveira's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Niko Price started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 012 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.