Alex Oliveira vs Ryan LaFlare

July 21, 2017

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1251
(+39)
Alex Oliveira
Winner: Alex Oliveira
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:50

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alex Oliveira+39
Ryan LaFlare-32
1164
(-32)
Ryan LaFlare

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +36Ryan LaFlare: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraRyan LaFlare
Total UFC Fights108
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 2081 183
ELO Change+36-36
💡

What Happened

Alex Oliveira's 2-fight experience advantage (10 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Oliveira for the expected result. Had Ryan LaFlare pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +22Ryan LaFlare: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraRyan LaFlare
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1141 083
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +66Ryan LaFlare: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraRyan LaFlare
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:501:50
Win Type ELO1 3991 220
ELO Change+66-32
💡

What Happened

Alex Oliveira gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +88Ryan LaFlare: -88

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraRyan LaFlare
Significant Strikes Landed85
Significant Strikes Attempted2114
Total Strikes Landed88
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 3451 160
ELO Change+88-88
💡

What Happened

Alex Oliveira controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alex Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +18Ryan LaFlare: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraRyan LaFlare
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted12
Ground Control Time0:014:20
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO1 3361 247
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

Alex Oliveira did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ryan LaFlare on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +33Ryan LaFlare: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraRyan LaFlare
Days Since Last Fight133161
Activity ELO1 3481 220
ELO Change+33-16
💡

What Happened

Alex Oliveira demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan LaFlare's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +26Ryan LaFlare: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraRyan LaFlare
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1431 112
ELO Change+26-22
💡

What Happened

Alex Oliveira extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan LaFlare is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +22Ryan LaFlare: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraRyan LaFlare
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1131 083
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.