July 21, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 208 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Alex Oliveira's 2-fight experience advantage (10 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Oliveira for the expected result. Had Ryan LaFlare pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 114 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:50 | 1:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 399 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -32 |
Alex Oliveira gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 345 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Alex Oliveira controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alex Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 4:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 336 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Alex Oliveira did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ryan LaFlare on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 348 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -16 |
Alex Oliveira demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan LaFlare's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 143 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Alex Oliveira extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan LaFlare is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Ryan LaFlare |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 113 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

