October 23, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 18 | -18 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -143 | +143 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov overcame a 18-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alex Oliveira.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 056 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 202 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +115 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 161 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov edged the striking exchanges. Shavkat Rakhmonov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:04 | 0:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 126 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov edged out Alex Oliveira on the ground with 0:44 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 257 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Shavkat Rakhmonov capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Oliveira's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 088 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +31 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.