Alex Oliveira vs Tim Means

March 10, 2017

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1212
(+43)
Alex Oliveira
Winner: Alex Oliveira
Submission
Round 2 • 2:38

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alex Oliveira+43
Tim Means-34
1128
(-34)
Tim Means

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +39Tim Means: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraTim Means
Total UFC Fights914
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 1721 081
ELO Change+39-30
💡

What Happened

Alex Oliveira overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Means.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +21Tim Means: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraTim Means
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0921 057
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +66Tim Means: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraTim Means
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:382:38
Win Type ELO1 3331 228
ELO Change+66-42
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What Happened

Alex Oliveira earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tim Means was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +30Tim Means: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraTim Means
Significant Strikes Landed129
Significant Strikes Attempted2412
Total Strikes Landed1834
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2571 272
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Tim Means controlled the striking through superior volume (34 vs 18 total strikes), superior accuracy (75.0% vs 50.0%). However, since Tim Means lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alex Oliveira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +81Tim Means: -81

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraTim Means
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted111
Ground Control Time4:492:01
Ground Strikes Landed44
Ground ELO1 3181 019
ELO Change+81-81
💡

What Happened

Alex Oliveira dominated Tim Means on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 4:49 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +61Tim Means: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraTim Means
Days Since Last Fight7171
Activity ELO1 3151 225
ELO Change+61-20
💡

What Happened

Alex Oliveira demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 71 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Alex Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Means's 71-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +24Tim Means: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraTim Means
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1171 088
ELO Change+24-22
💡

What Happened

Alex Oliveira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Means is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Oliveira: +21Tim Means: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex OliveiraTim Means
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0911 057
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.