December 1, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 181 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 089 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:02 | 2:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 341 | 1 378 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +116 |
Yancy Medeiros gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 93 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 161 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 186 | 1 365 |
| ELO Change | -159 | +159 |
Alex Oliveira controlled the striking through superior volume (96 vs 78 total strikes), significant strike advantage (93 vs 75), 2 knockdowns. However, since Alex Oliveira lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Yancy Medeiros's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:05 | 1:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 285 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Yancy Medeiros landed 2 knockdowns followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 316 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +39 |
Yancy Medeiros demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Yancy Medeiros capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Oliveira's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 118 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +33 |
Yancy Medeiros extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Oliveira | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 088 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.