July 28, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 342 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -36 |
Alex Pereira overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jan Blachowicz.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 195 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 457 | 1 640 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Alex Pereira receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 112 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 446 | 1 586 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Alex Pereira controlled the striking exchanges with 112 vs 82 total strikes, 70 vs 52 significant strikes, 76.1% vs 64.2% accuracy. Alex Pereira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 7:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 141 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Alex Pereira did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jan Blachowicz on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 316 | 1 368 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -30 |
Alex Pereira demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alex Pereira capitalized on this activity level, while Jan Blachowicz's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 170 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -28 |
Alex Pereira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jan Blachowicz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 113 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.