June 28, 2024
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jiri Prochazka |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 421 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Alex Pereira's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Pereira for the expected result. Had Jiri Prochazka pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jiri Prochazka |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 338 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -13 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Alex Pereira captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jiri Prochazka |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:13 | 0:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 681 | 1 451 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -24 |
Alex Pereira gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jiri Prochazka |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 647 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Alex Pereira dominated the striking exchanges with 49 vs 7 total strikes, 38 vs 7 significant strikes, 76.0% vs 28.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Alex Pereira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jiri Prochazka |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 284 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Alex Pereira landed 2 knockdowns followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jiri Prochazka |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 396 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -9 |
Alex Pereira demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Alex Pereira capitalized on this activity level, while Jiri Prochazka's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jiri Prochazka |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 237 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -15 |
Alex Pereira extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jiri Prochazka is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Pereira | Jiri Prochazka |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 411 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.