July 29, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Perez | Alexandre Pantoja |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Alexandre Pantoja's 3-fight experience advantage (12 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexandre Pantoja for the expected result. Had Alex Perez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Alexandre Pantoja |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Alexandre Pantoja |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:31 | 1:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 256 | 1 371 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +82 |
Alexandre Pantoja earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:31, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Alexandre Pantoja |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 239 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Alex Perez lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Alexandre Pantoja's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Alexandre Pantoja |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 166 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Alexandre Pantoja controlled Alex Perez on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:06 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Alexandre Pantoja |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 616 | 343 |
| Activity ELO | 1 160 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Alexandre Pantoja demonstrated standard activity with 343 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Alexandre Pantoja capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Perez's 616-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Alexandre Pantoja |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 089 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Alexandre Pantoja extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Perez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Alexandre Pantoja |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.