November 29, 2018
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Perez | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Joseph Benavidez's 12-fight experience advantage (16 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joseph Benavidez for the expected result. Had Alex Perez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:19 | 4:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 158 | 1 390 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +53 |
Joseph Benavidez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Joseph Benavidez controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 14 total strikes, 35 vs 14 significant strikes. Joseph Benavidez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 1:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 138 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Joseph Benavidez controlled Alex Perez on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:15 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 100 | 1 284 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +22 |
Joseph Benavidez demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joseph Benavidez capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Perez's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 058 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +15 |
Joseph Benavidez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Perez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Joseph Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.