March 1, 2024
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Perez | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 115 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +35 |
Muhammad Mokaev overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alex Perez.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 214 | 1 299 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Muhammad Mokaev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 203 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Muhammad Mokaev controlled the striking exchanges with 47 vs 30 significant strikes, 45.2% vs 34.5% accuracy. Muhammad Mokaev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 20 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:44 | 4:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 145 | 1 401 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Muhammad Mokaev edged out Alex Perez on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:29 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 582 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 139 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Muhammad Mokaev demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Muhammad Mokaev capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Perez's 582-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +45 |
Muhammad Mokaev continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Alex Perez's now at 0.
| Metric | Alex Perez | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.