September 15, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Reyes | Charlie Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 919 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Reyes | Charlie Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 962 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Reyes | Charlie Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:38 | 3:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 946 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +87 |
Charlie Campbell earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alex Reyes | Charlie Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 869 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -105 | +105 |
Charlie Campbell controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 15 total strikes, 43 vs 14 significant strikes, 59.7% vs 36.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Charlie Campbell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Reyes | Charlie Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 912 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alex Reyes | Charlie Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 2 191 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 969 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Charlie Campbell demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Charlie Campbell capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Reyes's 2191-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Reyes | Charlie Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 963 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Charlie Campbell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Reyes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Reyes | Charlie Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 962 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

