Alex Reyes vs Tom Nolan

August 16, 2024

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

918
(-20)
Alex Reyes
Winner: Tom Nolan
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alex Reyes-20
Tom Nolan+24
1026
(+24)
Tom Nolan

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Reyes: -16Tom Nolan: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex ReyesTom Nolan
Total UFC Fights33
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9031 023
ELO Change-16+24
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Reyes: -19Tom Nolan: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex ReyesTom Nolan
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9431 018
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Reyes: -29Tom Nolan: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex ReyesTom Nolan
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9171 084
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

Tom Nolan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Reyes: -19Tom Nolan: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex ReyesTom Nolan
Significant Strikes Landed6984
Significant Strikes Attempted140176
Total Strikes Landed89104
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO850978
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Tom Nolan controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 69 significant strikes. Tom Nolan capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Reyes: -17Tom Nolan: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex ReyesTom Nolan
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted50
Ground Control Time4:160:22
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO895999
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Tom Nolan did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alex Reyes on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:22 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Reyes: -18Tom Nolan: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex ReyesTom Nolan
Days Since Last Fight33691
Activity ELO9511 066
ELO Change-18+45
💡

What Happened

Tom Nolan demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tom Nolan capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Reyes's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Reyes: -19Tom Nolan: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex ReyesTom Nolan
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9441 023
ELO Change-19+22
💡

What Happened

Tom Nolan extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Reyes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Reyes: -19Tom Nolan: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex ReyesTom Nolan
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9431 018
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.