August 26, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Ricci | Jeremy Kennedy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Ricci | Jeremy Kennedy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Ricci | Jeremy Kennedy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Jeremy Kennedy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Ricci | Jeremy Kennedy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Alex Ricci controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (83 vs 43 total strikes). However, since Alex Ricci lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jeremy Kennedy's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Ricci | Jeremy Kennedy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:28 | 11:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 896 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -104 | +104 |
Jeremy Kennedy dominated Alex Ricci on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:10 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Ricci | Jeremy Kennedy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Jeremy Kennedy demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jeremy Kennedy capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Ricci's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Ricci | Jeremy Kennedy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Jeremy Kennedy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Ricci is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Ricci | Jeremy Kennedy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

