Alex Ricci vs Paul Felder

February 18, 2017

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

946
(-20)
Alex Ricci
Winner: Paul Felder
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alex Ricci-20
Paul Felder+24
1127
(+24)
Paul Felder

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Ricci: -20Paul Felder: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex RicciPaul Felder
Total UFC Fights28
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9591 133
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

Paul Felder's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Felder for the expected result. Had Alex Ricci pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Ricci: -18Paul Felder: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex RicciPaul Felder
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9611 048
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Ricci: -18Paul Felder: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex RicciPaul Felder
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:444:44
Win Type ELO9401 222
ELO Change-18+39
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What Happened

Paul Felder earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Ricci: -49Paul Felder: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex RicciPaul Felder
Significant Strikes Landed2123
Significant Strikes Attempted5971
Total Strikes Landed2123
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9301 190
ELO Change-49+49
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What Happened

Paul Felder controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Paul Felder capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Ricci: -9Paul Felder: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex RicciPaul Felder
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:03
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO8871 135
ELO Change-9+9
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Ricci: -11Paul Felder: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex RicciPaul Felder
Days Since Last Fight177149
Activity ELO9681 172
ELO Change-11+23
💡

What Happened

Paul Felder demonstrated solid activity levels with 149 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Felder capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Ricci's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Ricci: -17Paul Felder: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex RicciPaul Felder
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9621 069
ELO Change-17+18
💡

What Happened

Paul Felder started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Ricci is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Ricci: -18Paul Felder: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex RicciPaul Felder
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9611 048
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.