May 14, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Soto | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 953 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alex Soto | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Soto | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 921 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Francisco Rivera earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Soto | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 178 | 173 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 830 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Francisco Rivera controlled the striking exchanges with 78 vs 46 total strikes, 68 vs 41 significant strikes, 39.3% vs 23.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Francisco Rivera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Soto | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 935 | 871 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Francisco Rivera landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alex Soto | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 178 | 346 |
| Activity ELO | 963 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Francisco Rivera demonstrated standard activity with 346 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Francisco Rivera capitalized on this activity level, while Alex Soto's 178-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Soto | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Francisco Rivera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex Soto is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Soto | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.