March 8, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex White | Dan Moret |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Alex White's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex White for the expected result. Had Dan Moret pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex White | Dan Moret |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex White | Dan Moret |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 070 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Alex White earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex White | Dan Moret |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 030 | 913 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Alex White edged the striking exchanges with 70 vs 50 total strikes, 49 vs 42 significant strikes, 59.8% vs 47.7% accuracy. Alex White capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex White | Dan Moret |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:27 | 7:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 882 | 919 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Alex White edged out Dan Moret on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 3:27 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alex White | Dan Moret |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 330 |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Alex White demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alex White capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Moret's 330-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex White | Dan Moret |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 996 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Alex White started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Moret is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex White | Dan Moret |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

