September 7, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex White | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 30 |
| Experience Gap | -22 | 22 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Jim Miller's 22-fight experience advantage (30 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Alex White pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex White | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 962 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex White | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:29 | 1:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 035 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +49 |
Jim Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:29, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alex White | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 008 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Jim Miller edged the striking exchanges with 15 vs 5 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 35.7% accuracy. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex White | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 837 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Jim Miller dominated Alex White on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:19 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alex White | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 237 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +12 |
Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Alex White's 237-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex White | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 972 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +15 |
Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alex White is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex White | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.